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AEW Revolution - Internet Wrestling Community Preview
Welcome to Pro Wrestling Musing's IWC AEW Revolution Preview!
Below you will find preview graphics complete with statistical insights into each competitor's wrestling style thus far in 2020. This is followed by a selection of AEW enthusiasts predictions on what will happen at the PPV.
This is the first edition of this type of article so your feedback would be very valuable. DM @PWMusings with any suggestions or to highlight positives you would like to see continue.
Enjoy!
AEW World Championship Match - Jon Moxley vs Chris Jericho (c)
Alex Regla - @AlexMRegla - Throwdowns
This may be the toughest match on the card for me to predict. In one sense, I can see Chris Jericho retaining simply when considering how on fire his current run has been. From his promo work, shining some light on the company's younger prospects in T.V. matches, down to crowds across the country singing along to his entrance music. Admit it, you have too. I feel like there is so much more juice left to be squeezed with him as champ and everyone else in pursuit. With that said, if Jericho beats Jon Moxley, I do worry about who the next #1 contender would be. The company does have several babyfaces that would be worthy/have an interesting program with Le Champion, but their most realistic and serious options feel like they will be tied up with other angles coming out of Revolution. And unless a guy like Lance Archer is immediately pushed into the title program, AEW's other, younger options do not feel ready. I can definitely envision some shenanigans take place and Jericho sneak this one out and for this program to continue, but I think from a logistical balance of faces/heels on the roster, the company will give Mox the gold.
Winner - Moxley
Sam B - @Sir_Samuel - https://lordsofpain.net/columns/sirsamscourt/
Jon Moxley has easily been the most dominant wrestler in AEW. On the way to an all but unbeaten record he has taken out the likes of Kenny Omega, PAC, Joey Janella and Darby Allin (twice) and also holds the record for the fastest win in the company's history. However in Chris Jericho he comes up against a very different wrestler. What Jericho has lost in athleticism he has more than made up for in veteran cunning. Le Champion knows as well as anyone that he can't beat Mox in an even fight, so instead he first tried to dodge Moxley and when that failed has sought to dismantle Moxley piece by piece. Of course Moxley has steamrolled over each obstacle placed in his road however at every point Jericho has managed to exact a toll, slowly breaking his rival down to the point where the most dominant wrestler in the company was barely able to escape his last match with the win. I predict all of this will come together at Revolution and using every ounce of experience he has, Jericho will survive Moxley and hold onto his championship by the skin of his teeth.
Winner - Jericho
Shane Doyle - @GlobalForceGold - www.WrestleWipe.com
Both are almost neck and neck when it comes to dishing out and taking punishment. Moxley's pain tolerance will be tested as Jericho loves cranking in those submissions, and he'll have to keep his cool when Jericho inevitably starts slowing things down and posturing. Jericho capitalises on mistakes, and if Moxley lets his anger get the best of him he'll just find himself taken down again. Taking into account Jericho's striking stats, Moxley is going to batter Le Champion when it comes to fisticuffs and striking. That's going to keep Jericho within arms reach and on the back pedal, where he'll be more inclined to resort to cheating when backed into those corners. Within that closed space is where Moxley is able to hit his finishing moves though. Both men know each other well enough to be educated on effective reversals and defenses for finishing maneuvers, so Moxley will have to have a good game plan to get Jericho to a point where he can hit Dirty Deeds. But remember, Moxley usually preempts the DDT with a strike, and his strike game is high. Moxley out-numbers the champ when it comes to pin attempts, and this is vital. Jericho will have to avoid these as even something as simple as a lateral press, under all those bright lights and the heat from both wrestlers, is going to sap his energy rapidly. I hope Jericho has invested in a good cardio regime, because that strategy, mixed with Moxley being a glutton for punishment and being no stranger to longer matches, may be a key to a Moxley victory. Jericho does have the champions advantage; Moxley has to beat Jericho, and that plays into Jericho's passion for cheating and his Inner Circle having his back. If it gets too close, Jericho and his posse will have no concerns with getting DQ'ed or counted out. Is that going to effect Moxley's game plan going in? It's a tough to call, but seeing as Moxley doesn't have any established back-up of his own, I say it comes to down to Jericho taking the title back home.
Winner - Jericho
MagsOnSport - @MagsOnSport
Mox may look better in a lot of areas, he may dominate for 99% percent of this match but against Le Champion you have to be perfect from bell to bell, Jericho just needs one Judas Effect. Mox takes a lot of offence, but he can't take Y2Js elbow.
Winner - Jericho
Gareth - @RHWGareth
This one is very hard to predict as both are so over and both on such a hot streak. But I'll go with Mox. The momentum is with him and Jericho's run has been very good. One way to ruin that may be by having the most over guy in the company beat him. That said, it's been so well booked that either way isn't a bad outcome.
Winner - Moxley
Ryan Nietzey - @HitTheBooksPod - Hit the Books Podcast: https://t.co/4ktnuci9bH?amp=1
With this being Chris Jericho's first AEW singles match of the new years and Moxley's 6th, obviously it's slightly tough to tell inside this promotion. However, compared to Jericho NJPW match, we can see that what Jericho has his dirty tricks and his submission game. No one can outstrike Moxley, not eve Jericho and the numbers prove that.
If Jericho wants to win, he's going to have to bid his time with distractions from the Inner Circle and try to get Mox to tap out. Or will Mox be able to overcome all of the Inner Circle at one time and knock out everyone and win the AEW Championship? I think he can. It's an uphill battle certainly but Moxley has proven that he's nothing if not determined to win.
Winner - Moxley
Mickey - @MarksAnonymous - MAPodcast.com Marks Anonymous Podcast
Both of these guys are over big time. However I think Jericho goes over here. The inner circle is still being booked as a dominant heel stable and would lose too much momentum with the AEW title.
Winner - Jericho
Dan - @DanSpursQuins
Jericho to win. His gimmick is still brilliant and there are many other stories for MOX to go after. Plus MOX only has one eye.
Winner - Jericho
All Elite Kyle - @KylePrescott - AEW: All Elite Wrestling Discussion / AEW Official Discord / All Elite Hour Podcast
I got Mox winning but I also can't shake the feeling that Jericho is retaining somehow. If Mox loses then I don't believe it's going to be a clean victory for Jericho whether it be via Inner Circle interference, a surprise debut attack on Mox, etc.
A lot of people have said it would make sense for Mox to lose here and win in a rematch at Double or Nothing but I believe it would be more poetic for Mox to walk in Double or Nothing at the same ppv and arena he debuted at one year ago as the AEW World Heavyweight Champion.
Winner - Moxley
BigShowEsq - @BigShowEsq - Mark Anonymous Podcast
Hats off to Chris for again re-inventing his character and anchoring this show in its infancy. But at this point, his character feels so big, I’m not sure he needs the belt and honestly it just feel time for a shift, maybe even a paradigm shift. See what I did there.
Winner - Moxley
Tim Morehouse - @TimmayMan
Moxley brings powerful strikes while Le Champion has a variety of submissions (and dirty tricks). Jericho's inaugural run has been great, I'll be sad to see him without the belt, but it's Moxley's time on top.
Winner - Moxley
Dee - @aewinfo
Though Moxley seems to be more reliant on his strikes, I think Jericho is better and more experienced in his submissions. I see Jericho retaining in this match up.
Winner - Jericho
Ryan Cooke - @WrestleCast_ssm - WrestleCast Radio
The build for this has been fantastic. It's so good that I think they have taken out the thought that it's not two former WWE guys, but two of their top guys. The inclusion of Santana to this also has been awesome as we were able to see a new star for there as well with his backstory and new persona. As much as you could slap the gold on the babyface here, I just think Jericho has so much more to offer as your champion that you need to ride it out. Moxley loses nothing either as this build has elevated him regardless of the outcome. I also trust this booking team to make sure the finish is handled in a way also Mox stays red hot in a win or loss.
Winner - Chris Jericho
Craig Leask - @PWMusings - ProWrestlingMusings.com
Jon Moxley is the hottest competitor in the business as we head into Revolution. In 2020, he returned to NJPW, reclaimed the IWGP US championship and retained it twice. At the same time, he has amassed 6 victories in AEW and heads the AEW singles division by 3 wins over his nearest competitor. Chris Jericho has had a very different 2020. 'Le Champion' has only competed in one singles match in 2020 and that wasn't even in AEW. Jericho has won two tag matches in AEW this year and defended a chance at the AEW championship in Japan. Is this well-rested or out of practice? In an elite level of competition one would have to think this is a tactical blunder on the part of Chris Jericho. One perhaps born out of arrogance or complacency. When we examine the statistics, the stat that jumps out as interesting or unexpected is that Moxley tends to take more offence than he dishes out! In fact, out of all the AEW wrestlers who have competed in 1v1 singles in 2020, Moxley has the 5th highest rate of offence against him out of 23 competitors. Looking at pure quantity, Moxley has taken almost twice the amount of offence as anyone else in 2020 in 1v1 singles competition. Most offence taken - Moxley 208, 2nd Pac 120. This match will come down to how well Chris Jericho has prepared. Moxley can take punishment but is carrying a heavy load from his start to 2020. For me? Chris Jericho retains, he's the master tactician. I believe Jericho has prepared effectively and will eventually break Moxley's seemingly unending supply of resilience.
Winner - Jericho
Jon Moxley 6 - 8 Chris Jericho
Cody Rhodes vs MJF
Alex Regla - @AlexMRegla - Throwdowns
Let me preface this by saying holy shit the build to this match. After a disappointing start to this angle in my opinion, the last three weeks of this storyline have been exceptional, but also basic storytelling that has hit an emotional chord and played a huge part in the current momentum the company has. Everyone wants to see Cody get his hands on MJF, and that is exactly the feeling we should have. Yet, a single clean win over him would feel partially anticlimactic given all that has occurred. This feud has all the makings of a longer program, eventually leading to some sort of gimmicked match as a blowoff. I would keep an eye on a potential Arn Anderson turn here, or some other tomfoolery to take place to give MJF to cheap win. If there are any two guys worthy of AEW's first multi-month feud, it's probably this one. It's a risk, but I feel the company has proved able to hit it out of the park when it comes to long term booking thus far.
Winner - MJF
Sam B - @Sir_Samuel - https://lordsofpain.net/columns/sirsamscourt/
Really this match shouldn't even be a competition, as the last few months have shown MJF isn't even a quarter of the man Cody Rhodes is. However as the stats show MJF is a wrestler that has a knack for picking up wins regardless of how skilled his opponents may be. The key to it all is that number of fouls and while ten lashes and a cage match may not be enough to put Cody off his game, aggression aimed at his wife Brandi will. MJF knows Cody as well as anyone on the AEW roster so somehow, somewhere amongst the chaos of a Cody Rhodes match, MJF is going to sneak his way to a win and I think Brandi will be the key to it for him.
Winner - MJF
Shane Doyle - @GlobalForceGold - www.WrestleWipe.com
This one seems like Cody has it in the bag due to his experience and passion, but when you look at the stats MJF has the advantage. MJF will want to avoid getting into a fist fight with a clearly angry Cody, and he'll want to keep his distance to avoid Cody's various springboard moves and his spectacular moonsault. This is where MJF's main battle will be; getting close enough to land those grapples and submissions without incurring Cody's fiery wrath. MJF is no stranger to cheating though, and I think that is how MJF solves that conundrum. Cody will want to find an opening in his MFJ's cockiness to land those devastating strikes and dives. He'll need to keep an eye on Warlow too but he is has plenty of back-up to keep him at bay. He also had the edge on defense, and the Cross Rhodes is an easy move to transition into, making for a swift finish at any time. I think MJF will ultimately take it though, as he has been free to prepare for this match for weeks whereas Cody will be aching (both physically and emotionally) from the past moth of transgressions. Cody's temper might just be his own downfall so I predict a crash and burn for Rhodes in this one.
Winner - MJF
MagsOnSport - @MagsOnSport
He's better than Cody and he knows it. MJF is the much better grappler with submissions to wear down Cody's already battered body. A little less conversation and a little more action from MJF with less time taunting and more time double crossing makes for a victory for him.
Winner - MJF
Gareth - @RHWGareth
I don't know exactly how, but MJF will surely be cheating to win here. We don't want a repeat of Shawn Spears and whilst Spears took the loss to serve Cody's story, it's about time he did the same for someone else in AEW in a major match.
Winner - MJF
Ryan Nietzey - @HitTheBooksPod - Hit the Books Podcast: https://t.co/4ktnuci9bH?amp=1
Cody is the Ace of AEW. MJF is the Shitbag of AEW. These opposing forces will clash n a barnburner of a southern style match. Does MJF have the endurance is my question. He can put away his opponents quite easily with some excessive taunting, but against the opponent with the caliber of Cody, it might be too much to handle.
However, Cody has run the gauntlet. I've seen him overcome his fear of heights to take down Mr. Mayham. He has all the tools of the trade. But all it takes is one mistake for Cody to lose it all again. In Cody's biggest losses, it's always been one mistake. Can Cody do it or does MJF have something else up his sleeve?
Winner - MJF
Mickey - @MarksAnonymous - MAPodcast.com Marks Anonymous Podcast
This is a revenge match plain and simple and we will certainly see Cody punish MJF for his betrayal.
Winner - Cody
Dan - @DanSpursQuins
The best babyface in wrestling continues his clawing back to the top. Plus I reckon he whips him with a belt as soon as possible.
Winner - Cody
All Elite Kyle - @KylePrescott - AEW: All Elite Wrestling Discussion / AEW Official Discord / All Elite Hour Podcast
I can see both sides of this in either one winning but I believe this has to be a Cody victory. Cody went through all the stipulations and is easily the biggest fan favourite on the roster so you can't just have him go through that and then lose to MJF. If Cody does win, I don't believe this is the end of this feud by a long shot.
Winner - Cody
BigShowEsq - @BigShowEsq - Mark Anonymous Podcast
It’s been a great build to this point but it’s hard to think the guy who got whipped on national television isn’t going to get his ultimate revenge here.
Winner - Cody
Tim Morehouse - @TimmayMan
Wow, look at those foul numbers. MJF proving he'll do anything to win. Cody has the momentum but MJF has a devious mind and will be able to get inside Cody's. Outside interference is almost a given with Wardlow, Brandi, and "The Coach" Arn Anderson at ringside.
Winner - Cody
Dee - @aewinfo
Cody is the more experienced, well-rounded wrestler but MJF is a sneaky competitor who relies on low blows and fouls to win matches. I see MJF taking the win, possibly via a low blow or using Wardlow to help him.
Winner - MJF
Ryan Cooke - @WrestleCast_ssm - WrestleCast Radio
I put Cody here but I checked the box with a sourpuss face the whole time. I just thought it was too soon to do this. Have the cage match on this shoe instead to save for the next ppv, or hell, wait 6 months for them to touch. I just think they jumped the gun having this money feud so quick. Could have headlined a ppv with it and saved a Jericho title match that way. Now I have to say this, like the main event has been built tremendous. I am so invested in this angle it has turned to must see tv for me. Cody has gone from journeyman to the best babyface in wrestling. His angles are smart.m, and everything he touches turns to gold. While I'd love for MJF to win and extend this angle, I see Cody winning just because. Let's hope I'm wrong.
Winner - Cody
Craig Leask - @PWMusings - ProWrestlingMusings.com
Both men have been undefeated in 1v1 singles in 2020, with Cody having wrestled one more of these matches than MJF. Additionally, Cody has spent 10 minutes longer in the ring in these intense 1v1 match ups. MJF also has a tag victory under his belt. Cody has the 2nd best 1v1 singles in 2020, MJF is tied at 4th. Significant differences between the two competitor's performances occur at the high impact end of the scale. MJF looks to hit big grappling slams whereas Cody is always looking for the high-risk all or nothing. The other statistics to point out is taunts and fouls. MJF loves cutting corners and finding any advantage. He also loves rubbing it in his opponents face. The winner? MJF will struggle to impose his current dominating rate of offence on Cody but will find a way to win despite Cody's experience in taking punishment and reversals. Expect to see those high foul rate numbers come into play in a big way.
Winner - MJF
Cody Rhodes 6 - 8 MJF
AEW World Tag Team Championship Match - Young Bucks vs Mega Cowboys (c)
Alex Regla - @AlexMRegla - Throwdowns
I think the data helps tell the bigger story here. The Young Bucks, obviously the more experienced of the two teams, hold advantages in total offense, tags and finishers dished out. They are a finely tuned machine. The Mega Cowboys obviously have impressed, and individually are tremendous workers, but I think the rising tensions between Page and Omega finally boils over here with Hangman turning on Omega costing them the match. Which as I say that feels too on the nose, especially when considering how over Page has gotten with the fans. But, is likely what occurs. I truly do not want this to be end of this storyline as it's been my favorite in maybe all of wrestling at the moment. But, I think the natural and expected next step is an Omega/Page feud. Which will be awesome of course. I just hope it will be able to capture similar magic to what these four men have been able to capture this past month together.
Winner - Young Bucks
Sam B - @Sir_Samuel - https://lordsofpain.net/columns/sirsamscourt/
The Elite implodes! This is a fascinating matchup from a number of standpoints both physically and psychologically. Firstly from a physical point of view. In 2018 The Young Bucks made a big deal of their supposedly graduation to the heavyweight ranks however looking at these high volume stats tells me one thing only, these boys are still as junior as it comes. They throw a lot but to what effect? On the other side Omega and Page have a couple of heavy hands ready to throw down but while they are hardly lumbering probably do give a little away on the speed side. The more interesting point in this match though is the psychological. Theses are four wrestlers who know each other so well, they have travelled together, eaten together and fought together for countless days, weeks, months and years. What I think it will come down to though is who wants this more and for me, while The Bucks and Omega are potentially distracted by their friendship, The Hangman is as motivated as can be to defend his first ever championship. Over the last few months he has made a point of distancing himself from the men he now sees as his rivals and in the end I think he will be the difference maker, carrying his team to the victory.
Winner - Mega Cowboys
Shane Doyle - @GlobalForceGold - www.WrestleWipe.com
As well battling the Young Bucks, Hangman Page is going to be battling with Kenny Omega and even himself during this one. He's a conflicted man right now with a lot going on, and those emotions say more than the stats can. Him and Kenny have been a on big hot streak the past two months, and that's in spite of the team's volatile relationship. If Hangman can keep it together, the Mega Cowboys will have a better chance at survival. And "survival" is the correct term, as they're going up against the best tag team in the world (in my opinion). It won't be an easy win for the MC if they manage to squeak out a victory. This one is going down to the wire. If Page manages to hold it together then they'll need to keep their distance in order to avoid the Buck's plethora of strikes and (super)kicks. The Bucks outdo the Cowboys in almost every attribute that counts, which is due to their fluid team work and massive amounts of experience. This plays out in the 'Tags' and "double teams" stat, as the Bucks can haul that over the MC. More tags means more rest, more double teams means more damage. As Kenny has also just gone through a grueling Iron Man match with PAC (in which Matt Jackson forced Kenny back into the ring to beat a 10 count and take more of a beating), the Young Bucks are going to be the most well-rested and more focused tag team. I'd say the only attribute they need to keep a check on is their affinity for Kenny, The Elite and Page, as Page will be more than happy to deliver an unsportingly killer blow if it means victory.
Winner - Young Bucks
MagsOnSport - @MagsOnSport
Matt Jackson said it best, Adam Page was a jobber in ROH before they came along. Now he's done riding their coattails he's having a free ride on Omega, and a one winged angel can't carry that much weight on his back for long. Bucks pin Page leaving the Mega Cowboys like Adam likes his whisky... On the rocks.
Winner - Young Bucks
Gareth - @RHWGareth
This is where we have the most exciting story, in my opinion. Everyone is expecting a turn, particularly from Hangman. But I have a secret hope that Kenny and The Bucks turn. From here you move into a Kenny vs Mox feud which will dominate the year, culminating n Omega becoming champion. Hopefully from there then, Hangman Page, as one of the top babyfaces, is the one to dethrone Kenny. At least, this is my hope.
Winner - Young Bucks
Ryan Nietzey - @HitTheBooksPod - Hit the Books Podcast: https://t.co/4ktnuci9bH?amp=1
Young Bucks are undoubtedly the best tag team in the AEW locker room. They are just the ones NOT holding onto the belts. Omega and Page have taken a lot of punishment to get here but can that resistance prove to overcome the Jackson's sheer skill?
Winner - Young Bucks
Mickey - @MarksAnonymous - MAPodcast.com Marks Anonymous Podcast
In tag team wrestling you are only as good as your hot tag. And nick Jackson has the hottest tag in the business. While the Mega Cowboys have some steady momentum going into Revolution, the storied history of the bucks will see them on top.
Winner - Young Bucks
Dan - @DanSpursQuins
Bucks to win. Omega to turn on Page. Elite to be smashed to pieces.
Winner - Young Bucks
All Elite Kyle - @KylePrescott - AEW: All Elite Wrestling Discussion / AEW Official Discord / All Elite Hour Podcast
I've got The Young Bucks finally winning here and becoming the AEW World Tag Team Champions. I think Kenny and Hangman are going to have a hard time staying on the same page here and it will end up costing them their championships. I see Kenny actually turning on Hangman here and not the other way around. I think it's too obvious for Hangman to turn so I believe it's going to be a swerve here and Kenny will attack Hangman after they lose or The Bucks will turn heel and attack them both thus causing The Elite to fall.
Winner - Young Bucks
BigShowEsq - @BigShowEsq - Mark Anonymous Podcast
Mega Powers implode adjace but with better drinking jokes.
Winner - Young Bucks
Tim Morehouse - @TimmayMan
One of the more even match ups according to the stats. Hangman is the wildcard as his loyalty to the Elite, and even his own partner has been wavering in the past several weeks.
Winner - Mega Cowboys
Dee - @aewinfo
This is probably the hardest match for me to call. Yes, the Young Bucks are one of the top tag teams in the world and arguably THE best. But I think they high-flying style will be overcome by Page and Omega's more grounded and traditional style of in-ring work. Should be a very hard-fought, exciting matchup!
Winner - Mega Cowboys
Ryan Cooke - @WrestleCast_ssm - WrestleCast Radio
When this angle got going, I was loving the Adam Page redemption storyline. It had everything you want. Then, just when you didn't think this company could be even smarter, the post match interview happens after their title win, and they turn it into the Kenny Omega redemption. Masterpiece. I never saw it coming. Suddenly, it's all about Kenny and his buddies the Bucks, and Page is left alone on a island. Just like that, they elevated Page to a star. This company and it's plan ahead booking is amazing. It is almost as if they took a piece of Gedo with them when they left New Japan. Page turning on Kenny seems as obvious as MJF turning on Cody. For that, I cant see it happen again. My money is on the Bucks. I feel Page gets the victory and we see the start of a heel turn for Matt and Nick, which would be a great swerve, and also a way to test the AEW fans if they will boo one of their reasons they are here. It's a interesting play, but I wanna ride this train and see where it can go.
Winner - Mega Cowboys
Craig Leask - @PWMusings - ProWrestlingMusings.com
This is the match that I would confidently predict most people are waiting for. The kind of subtler and more realistic story that respects your intelligence, one that VKM would surely add a dancing bear to, just to make it good sh... The Mega Cowboys have taken the AEW tag team division by storm in 2020 and sit atop the division two wins ahead of their nearest competitors. The Young Bucks have had a contrasting year and find themselves 3rd (Dark Order are 2nd in PWM's Wrestling League, based solely on statistics). In pure 2v2 matches the gap between the teams is illustrated in the graphic. Note that the Mega Cowboys triple the Bucks in pure 2v2 tag matches such as the type of match they will be squaring off in at Revolution. However, performance stats add another element to the anticipation of this match. The Young Bucks are a well-oiled machine in the ring. Their stats dwarf that of the Mega Cowboy's. They outdo their less experienced opponents in every meaningful category (a 4 second per hour submission rate is essentially null). With this being said and as the purveyor of wrestling stats, I am going to go against these overwhelming numbers. Kenny Omega is one of the very best wrestlers in the world, on his day the absolute best. However, this match teeters on the involvement of the real 'fastest rising star in AEW', Hangman Adam Page. When Page and Omega captured the titles, it was Page who took the match by the scruff of the neck and laid out both members of SCU and picked up the win. If Page is able to channel his anger and frustration like that again, the Young Bucks will struggle to withstand the Mega Cowboys.
Winner - Mega Cowboys
Young Bucks 9 - 5 Mega Cowboys